On the other side, Conway Morris argues that natural selection is so powerful that it inevitably finds the same "solutions" to environmental problems. If an environment needs a fast swimmer, it will eventually produce something like a shark, a dolphin, or an ichthyosaur—independently. Testing the "Improbable" in the Real World
In his compelling book, , evolutionary biologist Jonathan Losos explores this profound question. By examining the tug-of-war between contingency (random luck) and convergence (predictable patterns), Losos offers a new lens through which to view our place in the cosmos. The Great Debate: Gould vs. Conway Morris Improbable Destinies: Fate, Chance, and the Fut...
Gould famously argued that evolution is highly contingent on random events. He believed that if you replayed the "tape of life," a different set of winners and losers would emerge every time. To Gould, humans are a magnificent evolutionary fluke. On the other side, Conway Morris argues that
If you could rewind the history of Earth—every volcanic eruption, every meteor strike, every random mutation—and press "play" again, would the world look the same? Would we still have humans, or would the planet be dominated by bipedal dinosaurs? He believed that if you replayed the "tape
Beyond the ivory tower, Losos’s insights have vital real-world applications: